Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 3.746292 4.422124 5.210992 6.206420 7.438259 8.924716 10.872476
2024-12-22 2.696924 3.505682 4.567884 6.091531 8.265303 11.325041 16.087434
2024-12-29 2.202422 3.041867 4.230823 6.087551 9.008936 13.600954 21.737661
2025-01-05 1.853467 2.680355 3.921408 5.993544 9.522420 15.604519 27.664441
2025-01-12 1.648883 2.482235 3.798656 6.133192 10.410118 18.454227 36.268351
2025-01-19 1.442118 2.241259 3.556414 6.006093 10.774871 20.437081 44.022225
2025-01-26 1.363752 2.192912 3.619082 6.422459 12.263000 25.149683 60.449678
2025-02-02 1.275434 2.112220 3.608021 6.691969 13.523553 29.835886 79.751189
2025-02-09 1.205518 2.052368 3.622271 7.010598 14.980101 35.574824 106.259017
2025-02-16 1.120985 1.953479 3.545255 7.118971 15.977788 40.551493 134.370055
2025-02-23 1.051225 1.872814 3.490739 7.264015 17.111585 46.436158 171.447069
2025-03-02 0.968429 1.756566 3.346483 7.172929 17.599816 50.592133 205.633869
2025-03-09 0.911001 1.695706 3.335006 7.466726 19.474413 61.156731 289.799607
2025-03-16 0.822302 1.562333 3.152061 7.311352 20.057610 67.906729 368.823269
2025-03-23 0.756840 1.467759 3.038428 7.307129 21.126553 77.492560 489.924519
2025-03-30 0.693093 1.368117 2.896238 7.190149 21.787618 86.009378 628.989663
2025-04-06 0.653605 1.316348 2.858972 7.363888 23.583129 101.746305 895.115093
2025-04-13 0.601366 1.229232 2.721153 7.205757 24.073133 111.349567 1140.522783
2025-04-20 0.586746 1.226507 2.795111 7.724314 27.574185 142.710188 1896.210891
2025-04-27 0.564409 1.202598 2.810102 8.060773 30.527256 175.240450 3013.663812
2025-05-04 0.545823 1.185259 2.839798 8.459334 34.051636 218.310771 5051.559562
2025-05-11 0.519010 1.144302 2.797704 8.595081 36.399174 256.580394 7816.636377
2025-05-18 0.495931 1.110034 2.769326 8.776909 39.154728 305.083022 12719.625652